MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins (May 15, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (20-24) face the Tampa Bay Rays (28-14) at Tropicana Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -128, while the Marlins are at +107. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.
- The Marlins (-200) have an 18-26 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+164) hold a record of 25-17.
- The Marlins have a 25-17-2 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total runs line, 17 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 20-19-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (11th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .243 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .257 (3rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 34 (26th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 33 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 175 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 177 RBIs to rank T17th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.52 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.19 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 369 this season, ranking 15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 327.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .218 against the Rays this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .224 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 9-10-25 | 5-5-16 | 4-5-9 | 6-4-19 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Rays | 10-8-24 | 3-5-10 | 7-3-14 | 5-6-13 | 5-2-11 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -125.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 18-17-9 | 11-9-6 | 7-8-3 | 13-9-7 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
| Rays | 18-14-10 | 8-5-5 | 10-9-5 | 12-9-3 | 6-5-7 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 22-22 in Marlins games this season. The Rays have a 23-19 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded an upset 3-2 victory over the Marlins at George M. Steinbrenner Field when these teams last met on June 8, 2025. Yandy Diaz was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.
