MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies (May 15, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (21-23) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-20) at PNC Park on Friday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -132, while the Phillies are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- The Phillies (-193) have a 13-31 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+158) hold a record of 24-20.
- The Phillies have a 22-20-2 O/U record this season (meaning 22 games have gone over the total runs line, 20 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 23-20-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging +1.0 more at 5.0 runs (T5th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (13th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .233 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .250 (6th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 46 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 52 (T9th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 173 RBIs to rank T23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 212 RBIs to rank T3rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.71 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.36 (20th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 419 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 390.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .222 against the Pirates this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .268 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 13-12-19 | 8-7-9 | 5-5-10 | 11-9-12 | 2-3-7 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Pirates | 16-5-23 | 9-3-11 | 7-2-12 | 11-3-11 | 5-2-12 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 16-20-8 | 11-11-2 | 5-9-6 | 13-15-4 | 3-5-4 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Pirates | 21-10-13 | 13-4-6 | 8-6-7 | 15-5-5 | 6-5-8 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 19-25 in Phillies games this season. The Pirates have a 22-22 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Pirates recorded a 2-1 victory over the Phillies at PNC Park when these teams last met on June 8, 2025. Jared Triolo went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Pirates have now won three straight against the Phillies.
