MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets (May 21, 2026)
The New York Mets (21-28) face the Washington Nationals (25-25) at Nationals Park on Thursday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. David Peterson is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Cade Cavalli is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Mets are favored to win at -114, while the Nationals are at -105. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -104.
- The Mets (+141) have a 19-30 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-171) hold a record of 30-20.
- The Mets have a 21-25-3 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 25 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 32-16-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +1.5 more at 5.6 runs (1st).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.9 runs (30th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .232 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .246 (9th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 61 (7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 45 (21st).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 192 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 261 RBIs to rank T1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 5.04 this season (29th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 3.91 (11th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 460 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 392.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Nationals this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .234 (10th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 10-12-27 | 7-5-12 | 3-7-15 | 10-9-18 | 0-3-9 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Nationals | 16-11-23 | 9-6-10 | 7-5-13 | 0-1-2 | 16-10-21 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 14-23-12 | 9-11-4 | 5-12-8 | 11-17-9 | 3-6-3 | 0-0-0 | 1-8-1 |
| Nationals | 18-21-11 | 10-10-5 | 8-11-6 | 1-0-2 | 17-21-9 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 25-24 in Mets games this season. The Nationals have a 23-27 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded an 8-4 victory over the Mets at Nationals Park yesterday. Juan Soto was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.
