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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 20, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (56-42) face the Toronto Blue Jays (46-53) at Rogers Centre on Monday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nick Martinez is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Dylan Cease is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -168, while the Rays are at +139. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Rays (-162) have a 56-42 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+134) hold a record of 48-51.
  • The Rays have a 44-50-4 O/U record this season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 50-46-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging only 4.0 (29th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (15th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .257 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .242 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 101 (T23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 98 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 412 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 381 RBIs to rank 29th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.14 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.91 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 789 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 879.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Blue Jays this season (13th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .234 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 25-18-55 14-9-27 11-9-28 18-14-31 7-4-24 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Blue Jays 18-31-50 9-18-25 9-13-25 13-20-24 5-11-26 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Rays are +135 to lead after three innings, while the Blue Jays are -175.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 38-32-28 21-16-13 17-16-15 30-22-11 8-10-17 0-0-0 3-7-0
    Blue Jays 32-43-24 17-22-13 15-21-11 22-22-13 10-21-11 0-0-0 2-6-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 51-47 in Rays games this season. The Blue Jays have a 47-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 5-3 extra innings victory over the Rays at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on May 13. That result snapped the Rays' five-game winning streak against the Blue Jays. Daulton Varsho went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 4 RBIs.