MLB Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets (July 21, 2026)
The New York Mets (42-59) face the Milwaukee Brewers (63-37) at American Family Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zach Thornton is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Brandon Sproat is the probable pitcher for the Brewers. The Brewers are favored to win at -149, while the Mets are at +123. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -101 and UNDER at -120.
- The Mets (-164) have a 44-57 Run Line record this season, while the Brewers (+136) hold a record of 54-46.
- The Mets have a 46-48-7 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total runs line, 48 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 45-53-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +1.0 more at 5.1 runs (4th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (21st in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Brewers are at an impressive .253 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting an underwhelming .233 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Brewers have hit 94 (T29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 117 (16th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers have been outstanding this season, recording 484 RBIs to rank 4th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Mets have performed poorly in this area, recording only 392 RBIs to rank 28th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.44 this season (2nd in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.27 (18th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 926 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 975.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .218 against the Brewers this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .238 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 23-26-52 | 16-10-23 | 7-16-29 | 20-14-30 | 3-12-22 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Brewers | 26-23-51 | 15-11-25 | 11-12-26 | 22-17-36 | 4-6-15 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 31-48-22 | 18-22-9 | 13-26-13 | 23-26-15 | 8-22-7 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Brewers | 40-34-26 | 22-14-15 | 18-20-11 | 28-25-22 | 12-9-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 49-52 in Mets games this season. The Brewers have a 50-50 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Brewers recorded an upset 8-3 victory over the Mets at American Family Field yesterday. Cooper Pratt dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and an RBI. The Brewers have now won four straight against the Mets.
