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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates (July 21, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-49) face the New York Yankees (56-44) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Bubba Chandler is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Will Warren is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -149, while the Pirates are at +123. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -111 and UNDER at -109.

  • The Pirates (-163) have a 49-52 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+135) hold a record of 51-49.
  • The Pirates have a 59-39-3 O/U record this season (meaning 59 games have gone over the total runs line, 39 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 43-52-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 (10th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .263 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .237 (23rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 146 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 130 (8th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 514 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 452 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.42 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.30 (20th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 925 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 10th for total strikeouts, recording 873.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .240 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 31-17-53 18-8-25 13-9-28 21-6-26 10-11-27 0-0-0 2-2-6
    Yankees 30-23-47 16-11-20 14-12-27 25-17-40 5-6-7 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 45-34-22 28-11-12 17-23-10 28-14-11 17-20-11 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Yankees 46-31-23 21-13-13 25-18-10 37-25-20 9-6-3 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 50-51 in Pirates games this season. The Yankees have a 45-55 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Yankees recorded an 8-5 victory over the Pirates at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Jazz Chisholm was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 5 RBIs.