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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 21, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (57-42) face the Toronto Blue Jays (46-54) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Kevin Gausman is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Rays are favored to win at -115, while the Blue Jays are at -105. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Rays (+149) have a 57-42 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (-181) hold a record of 48-52.
  • The Rays have a 45-50-4 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 51-46-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging only 4.0 (30th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (T16th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .258 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .242 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 101 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 101 (T25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 419 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 382 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.15 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.88 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 791 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 888.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .240 against the Blue Jays this season (14th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .234 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 25-18-56 14-9-27 11-9-29 18-14-31 7-4-25 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Blue Jays 18-31-51 9-18-26 9-13-25 13-20-25 5-11-26 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 39-32-28 21-16-13 18-16-15 30-22-11 9-10-17 0-0-0 4-6-0
    Blue Jays 32-44-24 17-23-13 15-21-11 22-23-13 10-21-11 0-0-0 2-6-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 52-47 in Rays games this season. The Blue Jays have a 48-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded an upset 7-1 victory over the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre yesterday. Nick Fortes was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.