MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins (July 20, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (49-51) face the Cleveland Guardians (52-48) at Progressive Field on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Twins are favored to win at -119, while the Guardians are at -102. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.
- The Twins (+141) have a 54-46 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-171) hold a record of 47-53.
- The Twins have a 55-39-6 O/U record this season (meaning 55 games have gone over the total runs line, 39 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 47-53-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 3.9 (30th).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 5.0 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (8th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .230 (28th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 94 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 123 (T10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 457 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 374 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.76 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.66 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 833 this season, ranking 15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 909.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Guardians this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .252 (25th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 25-25-50 | 12-10-29 | 13-15-21 | 7-6-13 | 18-19-37 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Guardians | 20-17-63 | 12-8-29 | 8-9-34 | 13-9-35 | 7-8-28 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Twins are -135 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are +105.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 42-37-21 | 21-16-14 | 21-21-7 | 12-7-7 | 30-30-14 | 0-0-0 | 6-3-1 |
| Guardians | 35-31-34 | 20-15-14 | 15-16-20 | 22-18-17 | 13-13-17 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 43-57 in Twins games this season. The Guardians have a 60-40 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 5-2 victory over the Twins at Target Field when these teams last met on July 9. That result snapped the Twins' four-game winning streak against the Guardians. Royce Lewis was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.
