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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (July 20, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (49-51) face the Boston Red Sox (50-48) at Fenway Park on Monday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Payton Tolle is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -162, while the Orioles are at +134. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -122.

  • The Orioles (-158) have a 51-49 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (+131) hold a record of 47-51.
  • The Orioles have a 51-44-5 O/U record this season (meaning 51 games have gone over the total runs line, 44 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 44-50-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging only 4.2 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (3rd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .237 (ranking 22nd in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .244 (15th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 94 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 119 (T13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 443 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 395 RBIs to rank T23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.53 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.21 (14th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 792 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank T16th for total strikeouts, recording 829.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Red Sox this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .251 (24th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 17-24-59 8-10-35 9-14-24 9-8-35 8-16-24 0-0-0 0-1-9
    Red Sox 19-31-48 11-12-25 8-19-23 13-17-32 6-14-16 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

The Orioles are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Red Sox are -140.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 34-38-28 21-18-14 13-20-14 16-18-18 18-20-10 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Red Sox 39-35-24 21-17-10 18-18-14 28-18-16 11-17-8 0-0-0 7-1-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 54-46 in Orioles games this season. The Red Sox have a 46-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded an 8-2 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park when these teams last met on June 4. Willson Contreras was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.