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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres (July 20, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (49-50) face the Atlanta Braves (57-41) at Truist Park on Monday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. JP Sears is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Bryce Elder is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -149, while the Padres are at +123. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Padres (-158) have a 47-52 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+131) hold a record of 56-42.
  • The Padres have a 44-54-1 O/U record this season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total runs line, 54 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Braves have a 47-43-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.9 more at 5.0 runs (6th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (5th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .228 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .250 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 130 (5th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 106 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have been outstanding this season, recording 472 RBIs to rank 5th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Padres have performed poorly in this area, recording only 394 RBIs to rank 25th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 3.62 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.24 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 802 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 827.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .229 against the Braves this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .248 (21st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 15-21-63 9-11-31 6-10-30 9-8-27 6-13-36 0-0-2 3-5-2
    Braves 25-24-49 15-7-26 10-17-23 20-18-32 5-6-17 0-0-0 2-4-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Padres are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -145.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 32-39-28 19-19-13 12-19-15 12-16-16 20-23-12 1-1-0 6-3-1
    Braves 42-33-23 25-13-10 17-20-13 35-19-16 7-14-7 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -135.

  • The NRFI is 60-39 in Padres games this season. The Braves have a 45-53 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded a 5-2 victory over the Braves at Petco Park when these teams last met on June 24. The Padres have now won nine straight at Petco Park against the Braves. Ty France was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.