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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres (August 14, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (65-57) face the Cleveland Guardians (59-63) at Progressive Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael King is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Gavin Williams is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -135, while the Padres are at +112. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -122.

  • The Padres (-198) have a 62-60 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (+162) hold a record of 55-67.
  • The Padres have a 55-65-2 O/U record this season (meaning 55 games have gone over the total runs line, 65 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 59-63-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.0 (28th).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .238 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .232 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 117 (28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 134 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 504 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 463 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.83 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.10 (13th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 992 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 1131.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Guardians this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .244 (17th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 21-23-78 12-12-39 9-11-37 13-9-33 8-14-45 0-0-2 3-0-7
    Guardians 27-19-76 16-9-34 11-10-42 18-11-43 9-8-33 0-0-0 3-0-7

Lead After Three Innings

The Padres are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -130.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 40-51-31 23-26-14 16-24-17 16-22-17 24-29-14 1-1-0 4-5-1
    Guardians 42-39-41 25-18-16 17-21-25 27-24-21 15-15-20 0-0-0 2-6-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 75-47 in Padres games this season. The Guardians have a 71-51 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded a 5-2 victory over the Guardians at Petco Park when these teams last met on April 2, 2025. Luis Arraez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. The Padres have now won five straight against the Guardians.