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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (August 14, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (58-63) face the Tampa Bay Rays (74-46) at Tropicana Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kyle Bradish is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Steven Matz is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -168, while the Orioles are at +139. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Orioles (-181) have a 62-59 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+149) hold a record of 71-49.
  • The Orioles have a 60-56-5 O/U record this season (meaning 60 games have gone over the total runs line, 56 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 53-63-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (11th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .261 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting an underwhelming .235 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 128 (21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 143 (T14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 524 RBIs to rank T12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 523 RBIs to rank T14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.70 this season (6th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.24 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 959 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 21st for total strikeouts, recording 977.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .229 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .253 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 23-26-72 8-10-44 15-16-28 9-8-41 14-18-31 0-0-0 3-0-7
    Rays 30-25-65 15-11-33 15-14-32 22-19-38 8-6-27 0-0-0 3-4-3

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 42-49-30 24-22-16 18-27-14 19-20-19 23-29-11 0-0-0 4-5-1
    Rays 48-39-33 24-19-16 24-20-17 37-27-15 11-12-18 0-0-0 5-4-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 65-56 in Orioles games this season. The Rays have a 61-59 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a lopsided 11-2 victory against the Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards when these teams last met on May 27. Blaze Alexander was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 6 RBIs. The Orioles have now won four straight at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against the Rays.