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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins (August 14, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (62-60) face the Cincinnati Reds (58-62) at Great American Ball Park on Friday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Chase Burns is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -117, while the Marlins are at -103. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -101.

  • The Marlins (+168) have a 60-62 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-206) hold a record of 63-57.
  • The Marlins have a 60-60-2 O/U record this season (meaning 60 games have gone over the total runs line, 60 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 63-56-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.1 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (21st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .250 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .227 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 158 (5th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 124 (T22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 513 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 473 RBIs to rank 27th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 4.51 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.98 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1021 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 965.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .246 against the Reds this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .231 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 24-23-75 12-10-41 12-13-34 12-7-40 12-16-35 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Reds 26-32-62 12-14-34 14-18-28 11-9-18 15-23-44 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Marlins are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Reds are -135.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 49-44-29 29-17-17 20-27-12 27-14-18 22-30-11 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Reds 36-48-36 19-21-20 17-27-16 14-13-11 22-35-25 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 68-54 in Marlins games this season. The Reds have a 59-61 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded an 8-1 victory over the Reds at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on April 9. Owen Caissie went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.