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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals (August 25, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (58-74) face the Toronto Blue Jays (64-68) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday at 7:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Max Scherzer is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -124, while the Royals are at +116. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Royals (-194) have a 66-66 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+159) hold a record of 67-65.
  • The Royals have a 60-67-5 O/U record this season (meaning 60 games have gone over the total runs line, 67 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 66-62-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 (30th).
  • In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (T13th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .246 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .245 (14th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 124 (T28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 136 (T22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 535 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 498 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.98 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.72 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 964 this season, ranking 28th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1150.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Blue Jays this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .258 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 30-33-69 17-17-32 13-16-37 8-12-26 22-21-43 0-0-0 2-3-5
    Blue Jays 24-36-72 11-20-35 13-16-37 16-21-32 8-15-40 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Royals are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Blue Jays are -120.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 43-60-29 26-27-13 17-33-16 13-23-10 30-37-19 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Blue Jays 43-56-33 20-27-19 23-29-14 26-26-17 17-30-16 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 66-66 in Royals games this season. The Blue Jays have a 69-63 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded an 8-5 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on September 21, 2025. Andres Gimenez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Royals' five-game winning streak against the Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium.