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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros (August 25, 2026)

The Houston Astros (65-66) face the New York Yankees (74-56) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ethan Pecko is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Will Warren is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -149, while the Astros are at +123. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -107 and UNDER at -113.

  • The Astros (-171) have a 65-66 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+141) hold a record of 68-62.
  • The Astros have a 68-56-7 O/U record this season (meaning 68 games have gone over the total runs line, 56 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 53-72-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Astros are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 4.5 (16th).
  • In the field, the Astros are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .242 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .230 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 179 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Astros have managed 173 (5th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have recorded 567 RBIs to rank T13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 552 RBIs to rank T18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.20 (1st in the Majors), while the Astros are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.63 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded 1149 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 1164.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .224 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .240 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 37-34-60 21-14-33 16-20-27 16-14-28 21-20-32 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Yankees 31-31-68 16-14-31 15-17-37 26-22-56 5-9-12 0-0-0 0-2-8

Lead After Three Innings

The Astros are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Yankees are -145.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 46-55-30 28-26-14 18-29-16 21-26-11 25-29-19 0-0-0 3-6-1
    Yankees 56-38-36 25-17-19 31-21-17 45-29-30 11-9-6 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.

  • The NRFI is 57-74 in Astros games this season. The Yankees have a 66-64 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 7-4 victory over the Yankees at Daikin Park when these teams last met on April 26. Christian Walker was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 4 RBIs. That result snapped the Yankees' three-game winning streak against the Astros.