MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox (August 25, 2026)
The Boston Red Sox (72-59) face the Miami Marlins (67-65) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Payton Tolle is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while the Marlins' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Red Sox are favored to win at -163, while the Marlins are at +135. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Red Sox (+104) have a 64-67 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-126) hold a record of 66-66.
- The Red Sox have a 61-66-4 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 63-66-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.4 (19th).
- In the field, the Red Sox are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .251 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .249 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 133 (T24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 133 (T24th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 567 RBIs to rank T13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 552 RBIs to rank T18th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.90 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.50 (3rd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1119 this season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 1082.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .239 (13th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 29-38-64 | 18-17-31 | 11-21-33 | 21-24-45 | 8-14-19 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Marlins | 26-24-82 | 14-10-43 | 12-14-39 | 14-7-42 | 12-17-40 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 55-48-28 | 33-22-11 | 22-26-17 | 42-30-18 | 13-18-10 | 0-0-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Marlins | 52-47-33 | 32-17-18 | 20-30-15 | 29-14-20 | 23-33-13 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 62-69 in Red Sox games this season. The Marlins have a 75-57 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Red Sox recorded a 4-2 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Mickey Gasper went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Red Sox have now won five straight at LoanDepot Park against the Marlins.
