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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox (September 3, 2026)

The Boston Red Sox (75-65) face the Baltimore Orioles (69-71) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jake Bennett is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Brandon Young is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Red Sox are favored to win at -136, while the Orioles are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -117.

  • The Red Sox (+124) have a 67-73 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (-149) hold a record of 71-69.
  • The Red Sox have a 67-69-4 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 69 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 68-67-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.5 (11th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .250 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .235 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 169 (9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 143 (24th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 598 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 612 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.16 this season (16th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.66 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1192 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 1120.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .255 against the Orioles this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox's opponents are at .243 (16th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 30-39-71 18-17-34 12-22-37 21-25-50 9-14-21 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Orioles 26-27-87 10-10-48 16-17-39 11-9-48 15-18-39 0-0-0 1-1-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 58-53-29 34-24-11 24-29-18 44-33-19 14-20-10 0-0-0 3-6-1
    Orioles 47-56-37 24-26-18 23-30-19 23-24-21 24-32-16 0-0-0 5-3-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 67-73 in Red Sox games this season. The Orioles have an 80-60 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 5-1 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park when these teams last met on July 22. Gunnar Henderson led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.