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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers (September 16, 2026)

The Detroit Tigers (72-79) face the Toronto Blue Jays (75-77) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday at 3:07pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Keider Montero is the probable pitcher for the Tigers, while Max Scherzer is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -127, while the Tigers are at +105. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -114.

  • The Tigers (-199) have a 77-74 Run Line record this season, while the Blue Jays (+163) hold a record of 76-76.
  • The Tigers have a 65-79-7 O/U record this season (meaning 65 games have gone over the total runs line, 79 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Blue Jays have a 77-70-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Tigers are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Blue Jays are averaging only 4.0 (30th).
  • In the field, the Tigers are allowing only 4.0 runs per game this season (6th in the league), while the Blue Jays are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Tigers are at .240 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Blue Jays are batting .248 (8th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Blue Jays have hit 148 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Tigers have managed 171 (T17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Tigers have recorded 648 RBIs to rank T15th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Blue Jays have recorded 584 RBIs to rank 30th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 3.94 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Tigers have an ERA of 3.64 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Tigers have recorded 1209 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 1321.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Blue Jays this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Tigers' opponents are at .233 (5th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Tigers 41-26-84 15-11-49 26-15-35 27-16-43 14-10-41 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Blue Jays 30-40-82 15-22-40 15-18-42 20-24-40 10-16-42 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Tigers are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Blue Jays are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Tigers 69-48-34 36-24-15 33-24-19 40-30-16 29-18-18 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Blue Jays 52-63-37 25-30-22 27-33-15 33-31-20 19-32-17 0-0-0 5-4-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 77-74 in Tigers games this season. The Blue Jays have a 77-75 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Tigers recorded a lopsided 10-1 victory against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre yesterday. Spencer Torkelson was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs. The Tigers have now won three straight at Rogers Centre against the Blue Jays.