MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees (September 16, 2026)
The New York Yankees (88-63) face the Minnesota Twins (70-81) at Target Field on Wednesday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Carlos Rodon is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Zebby Matthews is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Yankees are favored to win at -147, while the Twins are at +122. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -109 and UNDER at -110.
- The Yankees (+118) have an 82-69 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-143) hold a record of 78-73.
- The Yankees have a 66-79-6 O/U record this season (meaning 66 games have gone over the total runs line, 79 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Twins have an 81-60-10 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Yankees are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.5 (11th).
- In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (1st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .236 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .243 (15th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 175 (T13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 209 (1st).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 662 RBIs to rank 10th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 657 RBIs to rank 12th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.21 (1st in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.70 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 1352 this season, ranking 7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 1261.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (23rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .222 (2nd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 38-34-79 | 21-16-37 | 17-18-42 | 33-24-65 | 5-10-14 | 0-0-0 | 5-2-3 |
| Twins | 36-42-73 | 18-14-44 | 18-27-29 | 12-12-25 | 24-30-48 | 0-1-0 | 1-4-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Yankees are -154 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are +120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 68-43-40 | 33-20-21 | 35-23-19 | 56-33-33 | 12-10-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Twins | 59-63-29 | 33-25-18 | 26-37-11 | 21-17-11 | 38-46-18 | 0-1-0 | 3-6-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 77-74 in Yankees games this season. The Twins have a 61-90 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an 8-1 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Cody Bellinger dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Yankees have now won four straight at Target Field against the Twins.
