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NBA Prop Bets: New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets (February 4, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (33-18) face the New York Knicks (33-18) at Madison Square Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Knicks are favored to win at -192, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Nuggets are at +160. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-112 New York.

  • The Knicks (-118) have a 28-22-1 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-102) hold a record of 30-21-0.
  • The Knicks have a 25-25-1 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line, 25 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Nuggets have a 31-19-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Knicks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging 120.0 (2nd).
  • Defensively, the Knicks are giving up only 111.8 points per game this season (6th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 115.9 points (17th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Knicks currently rank 24th for pace this season, recording 98.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 26th on that scale with 97.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 43.7% of the Knicks' field goal attempts come from three point range (9th in the league), leaving 56.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 41.2% of their attempts from three (19th) and 58.8% from two.
  • Comparatively, Denver takes 40.1% of shots from three (22nd), leaving 59.9% from two, while New York's opponents are attempting 44.5% from three (23rd) and 55.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Knicks are shooting 38.0% from deep in 2025/26 (3rd in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.8% of their attempts (1st).
  • On the opposite end, New York is holding opponents to 36.4% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 35.0% of their shots (8th).

Ball Protection

  • The Knicks are committing just 13.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 6th in the league. As such, the Nuggets aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 11.9 turnovers per contest (30th).
  • Flipping that script, New York is forcing 14.2 turnovers (16th), while Denver is committing 12.6 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

  • New York is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game this season (3rd in the league), including 13.6 offensive boards (3rd). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 43.1 rebounds (9th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
  • Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging only 42.4 rebounds (24th) and 9.4 offensive rebounds (28th), while the Knicks are allowing an impressive 41.4 and 10.1, ranking 4th and 2nd.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Knicks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • New York holds a 3-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 3-4-0 ATS record and 3-4-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Denver has a 5-4 W-L record, 4-5-0 ATS record and 7-2-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
  • Notably, the Nuggets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Notably, the Knicks and Nuggets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

New York is -142 to win the first quarter, while Denver is +120. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    New York 20-28-3 13-13-1 7-15-2 17-24-3 3-4-0 6-3-1
    Denver 31-18-2 16-8-0 15-10-2 22-10-1 9-8-1 5-4-1

First Half Winner

New York is -175 to win the first half and Denver is +145. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    New York 28-23-0 17-10-0 11-13-0 25-19-0 3-4-0 5-5-0
    Denver 30-18-3 17-7-0 13-11-3 22-10-1 8-8-2 5-5-0

HT/FT

New York is -125 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Denver is +225.

  • The Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 45.1% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 45.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

  • The Knicks have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Nuggets have appeared in four such contests.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of New York's 50 games this season. Meanwhile, 30 of Denver's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New York recorded a 122-112 victory over Denver at Madison Square Garden when these teams last met on January 29, 2025. Jalen Brunson was immense on that day, recording a 30-point, 15-assist double-double. The Knicks have now won three straight at Madison Square Garden against the Nuggets.

NBA Injury News – Denver Nuggets @ New York Knicks (February 4, 2026)

Denver Nuggets - Injury Report
Aaron Gordon (Hamstring) – Out

Gordon will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reported Thursday (Jan. 29).

Cameron Johnson (Knee) – Out

The Nuggets said on Monday (Jan. 26) that Johnson remains to be out indefinitely.

Tamar Bates (Foot) – Out

The Nuggets announced on Monday (Dec. 22) that Bates will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.

New York Knicks - Injury Report
Josh Hart (Undisclosed) – Out

The Knicks have listed Hart as Out for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game against the Nuggets.

Miles McBride (Ankle) – Out

The Knicks have listed McBride as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 4) game against the Nuggets.