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NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks (March 27, 2026)

The Atlanta Hawks (41-32) face the Boston Celtics (48-24) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Celtics opened as 7.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Celtics at -205 and Hawks at +170. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-110 Boston.

  • The Celtics (-115) have a 41-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Hawks (-105) hold a record of 40-33-0.
  • The Celtics have a 26-46-0 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total points line and 46 have gone under). The Hawks have a 37-36-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Celtics are averaging 114.2 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Hawks are averaging +4.2 more at 118.4 points (6th).
  • Defensively, the Celtics are giving up only 107.0 points per game this season (1st in the league), while the Hawks are giving up an average of 116.6 points (18th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Celtics currently rank 30th for pace this season, recording 94.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hawks sit 3rd on that scale with 101.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 46.7% of the Celtics' field goal attempts come from three point range (3rd in the league), leaving 53.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Hawks' opponents are taking 40.9% of their attempts from three (15th) and 59.1% from two.
  • Comparatively, Atlanta takes 42.8% of shots from three (8th), leaving 57.2% from two, while Boston's opponents are attempting 45.1% from three (25th) and 54.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Hawks who are making 36.8% of their attempts (6th).
  • On the opposite end, Boston is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (16th), while Atlanta's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (13th).

Ball Protection

  • The Celtics are committing 12.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league, while the Hawks are forcing 16.1 turnovers (4th).
  • Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.5 turnovers (29th), while Atlanta is committing 14.3 (13th).

Crashing the Boards

  • Boston is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game this season (4th in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (6th). Conversely, Atlanta's opponents are averaging a whopping 45.5 rebounds (24th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
  • Meanwhile, the Hawks are averaging 43.5 rebounds (16th) and 10.9 offensive rebounds (21st), while the Celtics are allowing 41.7 and 10.9, ranking 6th and 7th.

First Quarter Winner

Boston is -135 to win the first quarter, while Atlanta is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Boston 44-24-4 21-14-1 23-10-3 31-17-3 13-7-1 7-3-0
    Atlanta 38-31-4 19-14-4 19-17-0 22-11-3 16-20-1 7-3-0

First Half Winner

Boston is -166 to win the first half and Atlanta is +140. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Boston 48-20-4 23-11-2 25-9-2 37-12-2 11-8-2 7-2-1
    Atlanta 39-32-2 20-16-1 19-16-1 25-11-0 14-21-2 8-2-0

HT/FT

Boston is -120 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Atlanta is +220.

  • The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.8% of games this season, while the Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 43.8% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

  • The Celtics have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Hawks have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 24 of Boston's 72 games this season. Meanwhile, 40 of Atlanta's 73 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Atlanta recorded a 117-106 victory over Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on January 28. Jalen Johnson was influential on that day, recording 19 points, 14 rebounds and seven assists. The Hawks have now won three straight at TD Garden against the Celtics.

NBA Injury News – Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics (March 27, 2026)

Atlanta Hawks - Injury Report
Jock Landale (Shoulder) – Day To Day

Landale is questionable for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Celtics.

Boston Celtics - Injury Report
Jaylen Brown (Calf) – Out

Brown is out for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Hawks.

Nikola Vucevic (Finger) – Out

Vucevic underwent surgery Saturday (Mar. 7) to stabilize a fracture in his right ring finger and will be re-evaluated in 3-to-4 weeks.