NBA Prop Bets: Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks (March 27, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (23-50) face the Portland Trail Blazers (37-37) at Moda Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Trail Blazers are favored to win at -440, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Mavericks are at +340. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-115 Portland.
- The Trail Blazers (-115) have a 39-34-1 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-105) hold a record of 32-40-1.
- The Trail Blazers have a 40-33-1 O/U record this season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total points line, 33 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mavericks have a 33-40-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Trail Blazers are averaging 115.5 points per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging 114.0 (22nd).
- Defensively, the Trail Blazers are giving up 116.7 points per game this season (T20th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 119.3 points (24th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Trail Blazers currently rank 8th for pace this season, recording 100.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 5th on that scale with 101.5 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 46.8% of the Trail Blazers' field goal attempts come from three point range (4th in the league), leaving 53.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 39.1% of their attempts from three (16th) and 60.9% from two.
- Comparatively, Dallas takes only 35.1% of shots from three (27th), leaving 64.9% from two, while Portland's opponents are attempting a similarly low 39.8% from three (9th) and 60.2% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Trail Blazers are shooting 34.1% from deep in 2025/26 (29th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making 34.5% of their attempts (27th).
- On the opposite end, Portland is holding opponents to 36.1% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 34.8% of their shots (3rd).
Ball Protection
- The Trail Blazers are committing 17.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 30th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.2 turnovers (24th).
- Flipping that script, Portland is forcing 15.6 turnovers (8th), while Dallas is committing 14.8 (18th).
Crashing the Boards
- Portland is pulling down 46.0 rebounds per game this season (6th in the league), including 14.1 offensive boards (2nd). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging a whopping 46.5 rebounds (27th), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
- Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.6 rebounds (11th) and 10.3 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Trail Blazers are allowing 43.2 and 12.1, ranking 11th and 27th.
First Quarter Winner
Portland is -205 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +170. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | 34-35-5 | 18-15-3 | 16-20-2 | 19-11-3 | 15-24-2 | 6-3-1 |
| Dallas | 24-47-2 | 13-23-1 | 11-24-1 | 11-11-0 | 13-36-2 | 3-7-0 |
First Half Winner
Portland is -290 to win the first half and Dallas is +235. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | 34-38-2 | 18-17-1 | 16-21-1 | 23-8-2 | 11-30-0 | 9-1-0 |
| Dallas | 25-47-1 | 13-23-1 | 12-24-0 | 11-11-0 | 14-36-1 | 4-6-0 |
HT/FT
Portland is -255 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +450.
- The Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 33.8% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 21.9% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Friday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.
- The Trail Blazers have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 41 of Portland's 74 games this season. Meanwhile, 42 of Dallas' 73 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Portland recorded a 125-122 victory over Dallas at Moda Center when these teams last met on December 29. Deni Avdija facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 27 points and 11 assists.
NBA Injury News – Dallas Mavericks @ Portland Trail Blazers (March 27, 2026)
The Mavericks listed Gafford as Out for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Trail Blazers.
The Mavericks listed Martin as Out for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Trail Blazers.
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.
The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.
Sharpe will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks, per Sean Highkin of Rip City Radio 620 Portland.
The Trail Blazers listed Williams III as Questionable for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Mavericks.
The Trail Blazers listed Krejci as Doubtful for Friday's (Mar. 27) game against the Mavericks.
The Trail Blazers said on Thursday (Sept. 25) that Lillard won't be back on the court for the 2025-26 season due to his achilles injury.
