NBA Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets (March 27, 2026)

The Houston Rockets (43-29) face the Memphis Grizzlies (24-48) at FedExForum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 12.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 13.5, leaving the Rockets at -900 and Grizzlies at +600. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-107 Houston.

• The Grizzlies (-105) have a 33-38-1 ATS record this season, while the Rockets (-115) hold a record of 30-42-0.
• The Grizzlies have a 34-37-1 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 37 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Rockets have a 31-41-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Grizzlies are averaging 115.1 points per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Rockets are averaging 114.1 (21st).
• Defensively, the Grizzlies are giving up 119.1 points per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Rockets are giving up an average of 110.2 points (4th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Grizzlies currently rank 6th for pace this season, recording 101.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Rockets sit 29th on that scale with 96.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.0% of the Grizzlies' field goal attempts come from three point range (9th in the league), leaving 57.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Rockets' opponents are taking 40.1% of their attempts from three (6th) and 59.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Houston takes 34.6% of shots from three (29th), leaving 65.4% from two, while Memphis' opponents are attempting 43.1% from three (24th) and 56.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Grizzlies are shooting 35.4% from deep in 2025/26 (19th in the NBA), compared to the Rockets who are making 36.2% of their attempts (10th).
• On the opposite end, Memphis is holding opponents to 36.3% of their three-point attempts (21st), while Houston's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (9th).

Ball Protection

• The Grizzlies are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Rockets are forcing 13.5 turnovers (23rd).
• Flipping that script, Memphis is forcing 15.5 turnovers (10th), while Houston is committing a potentially problematic 15.8 per contest (27th).

Crashing the Boards

• Memphis is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game this season (20th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Houston's opponents are averaging 39.7 rebounds (2nd), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
• Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging an impressive 48.0 rebounds (1st) and 15.0 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Grizzlies are allowing 45.9 and 12.4, ranking 26th and 28th.

First Quarter Winner

Memphis is +205 to win the first quarter, while Houston is -250. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Memphis	28-40-4	14-20-1	14-20-3	10-8-2	18-32-2	1-8-1
Houston	39-29-4	18-15-2	21-14-2	36-24-3	3-5-1	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Memphis is +330 to win the first half and Houston is -425. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Memphis	29-39-4	15-17-3	14-22-1	12-8-0	17-31-4	1-8-1
Houston	39-31-2	20-15-0	19-16-2	36-26-1	3-5-1	5-5-0

HT/FT

Memphis is +700 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Houston is -450.

• The Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 19.4% of games this season, while the Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +2800 to go to overtime.

• The Grizzlies have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Rockets have appeared in eight.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 41 of Memphis' 72 games this season. Meanwhile, 24 of Houston's 72 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 108-99 victory over Memphis at Toyota Center when these teams last met on January 26. Alperen Sengun was influential on that day, recording 33 points, nine rebounds and six assists. The Rockets have now won five straight at Toyota Center against the Grizzlies.