NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans (March 27, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-49) face the Toronto Raptors (40-32) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Raptors are favored to win at -340, currently marked as 8.5-point favorites, while the Pelicans are at +270. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-110 Toronto.

The Raptors (-110) have a 37-35-0 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-110) hold a record of 41-30-3.
The Raptors have a 28-44-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 44 have gone under). The Pelicans have a 37-37-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Raptors are averaging 113.9 points per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging 115.4 (17th).
Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 112.4 points per game this season (9th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 119.3 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Raptors currently rank 21st for pace this season, recording 98.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 12th on that scale with 100.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 37.1% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 62.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 44.5% of their attempts from three (29th) and 55.5% from two.
Comparatively, New Orleans takes only 36.0% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.0% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting a similarly low 42.1% from three (10th) and 57.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting 34.9% from deep in 2025/26 (23rd in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making 34.8% of their attempts (24th).
On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 35.5% of their three-point attempts (11th), while New Orleans' opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

The Raptors are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 8th in the league, while the Pelicans are forcing 14.6 turnovers (15th).
Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while New Orleans is committing 14.2 (12th).

Crashing the Boards

Toronto is pulling down 42.3 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (19th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 45.5 rebounds (25th), 12.6 of which have come on the offensive end (29th).
Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.9 rebounds (14th) and 12.3 offensive rebounds (8th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.3 and 11.0, ranking 13th and 8th.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Raptors are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Toronto holds a 5-8 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-7-0 ATS record and 4-9-0 O/U record.
Additionally, New Orleans has a 3-8 W-L record, 5-6-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Toronto is -185 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is +154. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Toronto	39-30-3	20-15-0	19-15-3	26-15-1	13-15-2	7-2-1
New Orleans	31-41-2	16-22-0	15-19-2	9-6-0	22-35-2	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Toronto is -265 to win the first half and New Orleans is +215. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Toronto	38-34-0	20-15-0	18-19-0	26-16-0	12-18-0	3-7-0
New Orleans	30-42-2	18-18-2	12-24-0	11-4-0	19-38-2	5-4-1

HT/FT

Toronto is -210 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is +370.

The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 23.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Pelicans have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Toronto's 72 games this season. Meanwhile, 41 of New Orleans' 74 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New Orleans recorded a 122-111 victory over Toronto at Smoothie King Center when these teams last met on March 11. Trey Murphy III dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 28 points and three steals.