home team icon
away team icon

NFL Prop Bets: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills - Wild Card Round

The Buffalo Bills (12-5) face the Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) at EverBank Stadium for Wild Card Round. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bills started the week as 1.5-point favorites, but the Jaguars have moved into favoritism at -122, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Bills are +102.

The total points line is set at 51.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -113, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 26-25 Jacksonville.

  • The Bills (-110) have an 8-9-0 ATS record this season, while the Jaguars (-110) hold a record of 12-5-0.
  • The Bills have a 9-8-0 O/U record this season (meaning nine games have gone over the total points line and eight have gone under). The Jaguars have a 10-7-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Bills averaged 28.3 points per game during the regular season (T4th in the league). Comparatively, the Jaguars averaged 27.9 (6th).
  • Defensively, the Bills gave up 21.5 points per game during the regular season (12th in the league), while the Jaguars gave up an average of 19.8 points (8th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 376.3, the Bills ranked 4th in the league for total yards per game during the regular season. Comparatively, the Jaguars ranked 11th with 337.4 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Bills gave up 293.1 per game during the regular season (7th in the league), while the Jaguars gave up an average of 303.6 (11th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Bills recorded 216.6 passing yards per game during the regular season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Jaguars' defense gave up 218.1 passing yards per game (21st).
  • Meanwhile, the Jaguars recorded 222.3 passing yards per game during the regular season (12th in the league), although their rankeding shouldn’t strike fear into the Bills who conceded just 156.9 passing yards per game (1st).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Bills recorded an impressive 159.6 rushing yards per game during the regular season (1st in the league). However, the Jaguars were equally strong at stuffing the run, allowing just 85.6 yards per game (1st).
  • On the other hand, the Jaguars recorded 115.1 rushing yards per game during the regular season (20th in the league), while the Bills are giving up 136.2 rushing yards per game (28th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Bills recorded 20 total takeaways during the regular season (T15th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Jaguars, who recorded 31 (2nd).
  • On offense, the Bills recorded 19 total giveaways during the regular season (T15th in the league), while the Jaguars recorded 18 (T13th).

First to Score

The Bills are -106 to score first, while the Jaguars are -125.

  • The Bills have scored first in seven of their 17 games this season.
  • The Jaguars have scored first in nine of their 17 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Bills are -106 to record the first touchdown, while the Jaguars are -115.

  • The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 17 games this season.
  • The Jaguars have recorded the first touchdown in 12 of their 17 games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Buffalo Touchdown6 / 17+216
    Buffalo Field Goal1 / 17+426
    Buffalo Safety0 / 17+8400
    Jacksonville Touchdown7 / 17+196
    Jacksonville Field Goal2 / 17+328
    Jacksonville Safety0 / 17+7700

Which team will get a quick start?

The Bills are -101 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Jaguars are -124.

  • The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 17 games this season.
  • The Jaguars have been the first to score 10 points in 12 of their 17 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Jaguars are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -130, while the Bills are +110.

  • The Bills have an 8-6-3 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Jaguars hold a record of 8-4-5.

Last Time They Met

The Bills recorded a 47-10 beatdown over the Jaguars at Highmark Stadium when these teams last met in Week 3, 2024. The Bills have now won four straight at Highmark Stadium against the Jaguars.