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NHL Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres (March 5, 2026)

The Buffalo Sabres (36-19-6) face the Pittsburgh Penguins (31-16-13) at PPG Paints Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Sabres have a 36-25 Puck Line record this season, while the Penguins hold a record of 38-22.
  • The Sabres have a 29-29-3 O/U record this season (meaning 29 games have gone over the total points line, 29 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Penguins have a 29-28-3 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Sabres are averaging 3.38 goals per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Penguins are averaging 3.38 (7th).
  • Defensively, the Sabres are giving up 3.00 goals per game this season (T14th in the league), while the Penguins are giving up an average of 2.78 goals (6th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Buffalo is averaging 28.0 shots per game this season (17th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is allowing its opposition 27.2 shots per game (11th).
  • Flipping that script, the Sabres are allowing 30.1 shots per game (29th in the NHL), while the Penguins are performing better on the other end, averaging 29.2 shots (7th).

Power Play

  • Buffalo holds a power play percentage of 19.9%, ranking 17th in the league this season, while Pittsburgh sits 3rd with 26.1% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Sabres have a penalty kill rate of 82.9% (ranked 6th), compared to the Penguins at 84.6% (2nd).

P1 Result

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Buffalo 20-22-19 11-10-8 9-12-11 5-2-3
    Pittsburgh 29-17-14 15-6-8 13-11-5 6-2-2

To Go To Overtime

  • The Sabres have played in 12 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Penguins have appeared in 17.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Sabres have played in 3 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Penguins have appeared in 9.

Last Time They Met

Pittsburgh recorded a 2-5 victory over Buffalo at KeyBank Center when these teams last met on February 5. Avery Hayes led the way to that result, scoring 2 goals.