NHL Prop Bets: New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs (March 5, 2026)
The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-11) face the New York Rangers (23-29-8) at Madison Square Garden. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Maple Leafs opened as favorites, but the Rangers have since moved into favoritism at -135 to win and +185 to cover the -1.5 puck line. The Maple Leafs are -225 to cover the +1.5 puck line.
- The Maple Leafs have a 26-36 Puck Line record this season, while the Rangers hold a record of 30-30.
The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -135 and UNDER at +114.
- The Maple Leafs have a 34-23-5 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 23 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Rangers have a 25-33-2 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.18 goals per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Rangers are averaging only 2.62 (27th).
- Defensively, the Maple Leafs are giving up a whopping 3.42 goals per game this season (28th in the league), while the Rangers are giving up an average of 3.17 goals (T21st).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Toronto is averaging 27.5 shots per game this season (20th in the NHL). Meanwhile, NY Rangers is allowing its opposition 28.8 shots per game (20th).
- Flipping that script, the Maple Leafs are allowing 32.1 shots per game (32nd in the NHL), while the Rangers are averaging 25.6 shots (28th).
Power Play
- Toronto holds a power play percentage of 19.9%, ranking 17th in the league this season, while NY Rangers sits 12th with 22.4% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Maple Leafs have a penalty kill rate of 83.4% (ranked 4th), compared to the Rangers at 79.2% (16th).
P1 Result
Toronto is +200 to win the first period, while NY Rangers is +160.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 20-18-24 | 12-10-11 | 8-8-13 | 1-2-7 |
| NY Rangers | 16-24-20 | 5-14-9 | 11-10-11 | 2-6-2 |
To Go To Overtime
Thursday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have played in 19 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Rangers have appeared in 17.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Maple Leafs have played in 4 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Rangers have appeared in 3.
Last Time They Met
Toronto recorded a 2-1 overtime victory over NY Rangers at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on October 16. The Maple Leafs have now won three straight against the Rangers.
