home team icon
away team icon

NHL Prop Bets: Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning (March 5, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-17-4) face the Winnipeg Jets (24-26-10) at Canada Life Centre. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Lightning have a 29-30 Puck Line record this season, while the Jets hold a record of 28-32.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -130 and UNDER at +110.

  • The Lightning have a 28-27-4 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line, 27 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Jets have a 31-27-2 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.49 goals per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Jets are averaging only 2.83 (24th).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.64 goals per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Jets are giving up an average of 3.07 goals (16th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.4 shots per game this season (15th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Winnipeg is allowing its opposition 28.1 shots per game (19th).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 26.7 shots per game (9th in the NHL), while the Jets are averaging 26.5 shots (24th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.5%, ranking 13th in the league this season, while Winnipeg sits 23rd with 18.3% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 83.0% (ranked 5th), compared to the Jets at 79.1% (17th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +140 to win the first period, while Winnipeg is +225.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 26-19-14 12-9-8 14-10-6 2-5-3
    Winnipeg 21-15-24 11-4-14 10-11-10 2-2-6

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 13 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Jets have appeared in 14.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Jets have appeared in 3.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 4-1 victory over Winnipeg at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on January 29. Darren Raddysh led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 2 assists.