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NHL Prop Bets: Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators (March 5, 2026)

The Ottawa Senators (29-22-9) face the Calgary Flames (24-29-7) at Scotiabank Saddledome. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Senators have a 26-34 Puck Line record this season, while the Flames hold a record of 34-26.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Senators have a 34-25-1 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line, 25 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Flames have a 28-28-4 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Senators are averaging 3.30 goals per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Flames are averaging only 2.45 (32nd).
  • Defensively, the Senators are giving up 3.22 goals per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Flames are giving up an average of 2.97 goals (12th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Ottawa is averaging 28.5 shots per game this season (13th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Calgary is allowing its opposition 29.4 shots per game (24th).
  • Flipping that script, the Senators are allowing 24.6 shots per game (2nd in the NHL), while the Flames are averaging 29.0 shots (10th).

Power Play

  • Ottawa holds a power play percentage of 23.7%, ranking 8th in the league this season, while Calgary sits a lowly 30th with 16.1% of its power play opportunities converted into goals.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Senators have a penalty kill rate of just 72.4% (ranked 30th), compared to the Flames at 82.4% (7th).

P1 Result

Ottawa is +145 to win the first period, while Calgary is +220.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Ottawa 21-17-22 9-9-11 12-8-11 2-2-6
    Calgary 23-21-16 14-7-9 9-14-7 4-3-3

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.

  • The Senators have played in 15 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Flames have appeared in 11.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Senators have played in 3 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Flames have appeared in 5.

Last Time They Met

Ottawa recorded a 4-3 overtime victory over Calgary at Canadian Tire Centre when these teams last met on October 30. Jake Sanderson led the way to that result, scoring 1 goal. The Senators have now won three straight against the Flames.