home team icon
away team icon

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets (May 22, 2026)

The New York Mets (22-28) face the Miami Marlins (22-29) at LoanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tobias Myers is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Mets are favored to win at -126, while the Marlins are at +105. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Mets (+134) have a 19-31 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-162) hold a record of 20-31.
  • The Mets have a 21-26-3 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 26 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 32-17-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.3 (16th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (24th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .232 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .244 (10th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 42 (26th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 45 (T21st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 194 RBIs to rank T23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 210 RBIs to rank 15th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.41 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 3.85 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 467 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 14th for total strikeouts, recording 425.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Marlins this season (8th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .233 (9th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 10-12-28 7-5-12 3-7-16 10-9-19 0-3-9 0-0-0 1-3-6
    Marlins 11-13-27 7-6-17 4-7-10 6-4-20 5-9-7 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 15-23-12 9-11-4 6-12-8 12-17-9 3-6-3 0-0-0 2-7-1
    Marlins 21-21-9 13-11-6 8-10-3 14-9-7 7-12-2 0-0-0 4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 26-24 in Mets games this season. The Marlins have a 24-27 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 4-0 victory over the Mets at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on September 28, 2025. Connor Norby led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.