MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (July 28, 2026)
The Atlanta Braves (62-44) face the New York Mets (45-62) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chris Sale is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Christian Scott is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Braves are favored to win at -162, while the Mets are at +134. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +102 and UNDER at -123.
- The Braves (+113) have a 58-48 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-136) hold a record of 49-58.
- The Braves have a 52-46-8 O/U record this season (meaning 52 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 48-51-8 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Braves are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.2 (25th).
- In the field, the Braves are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .249 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .235 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 129 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 140 (4th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 505 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 425 RBIs to rank 24th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.18 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.74 (7th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 909 this season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 971.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Mets this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .233 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 26-25-55 | 16-8-28 | 10-17-27 | 21-19-35 | 5-6-20 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Mets | 24-26-57 | 17-10-26 | 7-16-31 | 20-14-31 | 4-12-26 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 45-37-24 | 27-14-11 | 18-23-13 | 38-20-17 | 7-17-7 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Mets | 34-51-22 | 20-24-9 | 14-27-13 | 24-26-15 | 10-25-7 | 0-0-0 | 5-5-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 50-56 in Braves games this season. The Mets have a 53-54 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mets recorded a lopsided 14-3 victory against the Braves at Citi Field yesterday. Francisco Lindor was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs, a triple and recording 6 RBIs. The Mets have now won three straight against the Braves.
