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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers (July 28, 2026)

The Texas Rangers (54-52) face the Tampa Bay Rays (62-43) at Tropicana Field on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Cal Quantrill is the probable pitcher for the Rangers, while Griffin Jax is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -181, while the Rangers are at +149. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -101 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Rangers (-136) have a 50-56 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+113) hold a record of 61-44.
  • The Rangers have a 57-45-4 O/U record this season (meaning 57 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 47-54-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (13th).
  • In the field, the Rangers are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (9th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rangers are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .260 (1st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 105 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed 124 (T16th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rangers have recorded 434 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 449 RBIs to rank 18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.75 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Rangers have an ERA of 4.29 (20th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rangers have recorded 897 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 840.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Rays this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rangers' opponents are at .246 (17th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 31-36-39 16-19-18 15-17-21 14-19-18 17-17-21 0-0-0 7-1-2
    Rays 26-20-59 14-9-30 12-11-29 18-15-34 8-5-25 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rangers 41-41-24 22-19-12 19-22-12 18-22-11 23-19-13 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Rays 41-33-31 22-16-15 19-17-16 31-23-13 10-10-18 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -135.

  • The NRFI is 37-69 in Rangers games this season. The Rays have a 55-50 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 4-3 victory over the Rangers at George M. Steinbrenner Field when these teams last met on June 5, 2025. Marcus Semien was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs. The Rays have now won three straight against the Rangers.