MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies (July 28, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (57-50) face the Miami Marlins (53-54) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Phillies (+154) have a 42-65 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-187) hold a record of 52-55.
- The Phillies have a 45-57-5 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 55-50-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.4 (17th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .251 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 109 (T23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 137 (T5th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 451 RBIs to rank T16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 453 RBIs to rank 15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.11 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.25 (19th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 1049 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T14th for total strikeouts, recording 896.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .232 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .254 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 31-23-53 | 20-10-25 | 11-13-28 | 26-16-36 | 5-7-17 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
| Marlins | 21-22-64 | 10-9-36 | 11-13-28 | 10-6-37 | 11-16-27 | 0-0-0 | 0-1-9 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 45-40-22 | 27-18-10 | 18-22-12 | 37-28-13 | 8-12-9 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Marlins | 43-39-25 | 24-15-16 | 19-24-9 | 23-13-17 | 20-26-8 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 51-56 in Phillies games this season. The Marlins have a 57-50 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded an 8-7 victory over the Phillies at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Otto Lopez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.
