MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals (July 28, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (45-62) face the Minnesota Twins (53-54) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -170, while the Royals are at +140. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Royals (-148) have a 50-57 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (+122) hold a record of 58-49.
- The Royals have a 50-53-4 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line, 53 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 58-43-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (T22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.6 more at 4.8 runs (8th).
- In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .246 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .246 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 126 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 109 (T23rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 429 RBIs to rank T22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 485 RBIs to rank T8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.67 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.85 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 804 this season, ranking T27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 879.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (23rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .262 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 24-27-56 | 12-13-28 | 12-14-28 | 6-9-22 | 18-18-34 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
| Twins | 27-26-54 | 13-10-31 | 14-16-23 | 8-7-15 | 19-19-39 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 33-51-23 | 19-23-11 | 14-28-12 | 10-20-7 | 23-31-16 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Twins | 43-39-25 | 22-16-16 | 21-23-9 | 13-8-9 | 30-31-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 53-54 in Royals games this season. The Twins have a 46-61 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Royals recorded a 6-5 victory over the Twins at Target Field when these teams last met on June 7. Starling Marte went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.
