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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals (August 16, 2026)

The Washington Nationals (60-65) face the New York Mets (55-69) at Citi Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jake Irvin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Christian Scott is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -175, while the Nationals are at +144. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Nationals (-149) have a 73-52 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+124) hold a record of 59-65.
  • The Nationals have a 67-53-5 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 53 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 55-59-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.2 (22nd).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (19th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at an impressive .252 (ranking 5th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting an underwhelming .235 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 151 (T10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 179 (1st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 638 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 496 RBIs to rank 22nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.10 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.73 (27th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 953 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 1115.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Mets this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .258 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 37-26-62 21-10-32 16-16-30 11-4-14 26-22-48 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Mets 28-29-67 18-11-32 10-18-35 21-15-34 7-14-33 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Nationals are +120 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -154.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 51-40-34 30-17-16 21-23-18 16-5-8 35-35-26 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Mets 41-55-28 21-26-14 20-29-14 25-28-17 16-27-11 0-0-0 6-3-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 59-66 in Nationals games this season. The Mets have a 63-61 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 5-4 victory over the Nationals at Citi Field yesterday. Carson Benge went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Mets have now won three straight against the Nationals.