MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins (August 16, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (63-61) face the Cincinnati Reds (59-63) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Nick Lodolo is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Marlins are favored to win at -126, while the Reds are at +105. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Marlins (+123) have a 62-62 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-148) hold a record of 63-59.
- The Marlins have a 61-61-2 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 61 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 64-57-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.1 (24th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (22nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at an impressive .250 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting an underwhelming .227 (30th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 160 (6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 126 (23rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 521 RBIs to rank T18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 478 RBIs to rank 27th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Reds have an earned run average of 4.50 this season (24th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.95 (10th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1037 this season, ranking 16th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 984.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .247 against the Reds this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .231 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 24-23-77 | 12-10-41 | 12-13-36 | 12-7-40 | 12-16-37 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Reds | 26-32-64 | 12-14-36 | 14-18-28 | 11-9-20 | 15-23-44 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are -130 to lead after three innings, while the Reds are +100.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 49-45-30 | 29-17-17 | 20-28-13 | 27-14-18 | 22-31-12 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Reds | 37-48-37 | 20-21-21 | 17-27-16 | 15-13-12 | 22-35-25 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 70-54 in Marlins games this season. The Reds have a 61-61 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded an 8-4 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Matt Mclain was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Reds' three-game winning streak against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.
