MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (August 16, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (60-63) face the Tampa Bay Rays (74-48) at Tropicana Field on Sunday at 12:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trevor Rogers is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -133, while the Orioles are at +124. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Orioles (-187) have a 64-59 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+153) hold a record of 71-51.
- The Orioles have a 61-57-5 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 54-64-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (11th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .261 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting an underwhelming .236 (25th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 128 (21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 147 (13th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 534 RBIs to rank 12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 530 RBIs to rank 15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.71 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.23 (19th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 970 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 21st for total strikeouts, recording 998.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .254 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 23-26-74 | 8-10-44 | 15-16-30 | 9-8-41 | 14-18-33 | 0-0-0 | 3-0-7 |
| Rays | 30-25-67 | 15-11-35 | 15-14-32 | 22-19-40 | 8-6-27 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Orioles are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -135.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 42-49-32 | 24-22-16 | 18-27-16 | 19-20-19 | 23-29-13 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Rays | 48-39-35 | 24-19-18 | 24-20-17 | 37-27-17 | 11-12-18 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 67-56 in Orioles games this season. The Rays have a 63-59 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the Rays at Tropicana Field yesterday. Pete Alonso dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and an RBI. The Orioles have now won five straight against the Rays.
