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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays (September 3, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (69-71) face the Cleveland Guardians (70-69) at Progressive Field on Thursday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jose Soriano is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -110, while the Blue Jays are at -109. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -117.

  • The Blue Jays (+153) have a 71-69 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-186) hold a record of 64-75.
  • The Blue Jays have a 69-66-5 O/U record this season (meaning 69 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 65-73-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.1 (28th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .246 (ranking 15th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .236 (24th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 130 (T29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 133 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 533 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 540 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.72 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.93 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1223 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 1296.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .237 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 27-37-76 13-21-38 14-16-38 18-21-35 9-16-41 0-0-0 4-1-5
    Guardians 31-23-85 19-10-41 12-13-44 22-14-51 9-9-34 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 46-58-36 22-29-21 24-29-15 28-27-19 18-31-17 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Guardians 50-43-46 31-20-19 19-23-27 35-26-26 15-17-20 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 72-68 in Blue Jays games this season. The Guardians have a 79-60 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a lopsided 11-0 victory against the Guardians at Progressive Field yesterday. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 5 RBIs.