MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers (September 5, 2026)
The Detroit Tigers (64-77) face the Cleveland Guardians (72-70) at Progressive Field on Saturday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Framber Valdez is the probable pitcher for the Tigers, while Parker Messick is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -163, while the Tigers are at +135. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Tigers (-163) have a 69-72 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (+135) hold a record of 64-78.
- The Tigers have a 60-76-5 O/U record this season (meaning 60 games have gone over the total runs line, 76 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 67-74-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Tigers are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.1 (27th).
- In the field, the Tigers are allowing only 4.1 runs per game this season (6th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Tigers are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .237 (23rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 133 (29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Tigers have managed 158 (T17th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Tigers have recorded 590 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 554 RBIs to rank 27th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.75 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Tigers have an ERA of 3.72 (6th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Tigers have recorded 1141 this season, ranking T21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 1322.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Guardians this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Tigers' opponents are at .234 (7th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 37-24-80 | 13-10-46 | 24-14-34 | 25-15-40 | 12-9-40 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
| Guardians | 31-24-87 | 19-11-43 | 12-13-44 | 22-15-53 | 9-9-34 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 64-45-32 | 33-22-14 | 31-23-18 | 37-28-15 | 27-17-17 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Guardians | 51-45-46 | 32-22-19 | 19-23-27 | 36-28-26 | 15-17-20 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 74-67 in Tigers games this season. The Guardians have an 81-61 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the Tigers at Progressive Field yesterday. Travis Bazzana was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. The Guardians have now won four straight at Progressive Field against the Tigers.
