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MLB Prop Bets: Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays (September 5, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (84-57) face the Texas Rangers (70-72) at Globe Life Field on Saturday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Jacob deGrom is the probable pitcher for the Rangers. This contest is a pick'em, with both the Rays and Rangers at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Rays (+159) have a 76-65 Run Line record this season, while the Rangers (-194) hold a record of 65-77.
  • The Rays have a 65-72-4 O/U record this season (meaning 65 games have gone over the total runs line, 72 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Rangers have a 71-65-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Rangers are averaging only 4.1 (26th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (9th in the league), while the Rangers are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (14th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .260 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Rangers are batting .243 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rangers have hit 160 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 146 (24th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 603 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rangers have recorded 564 RBIs to rank T24th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rangers have an earned run average of 4.29 this season (22nd in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.81 (8th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1148 this season, ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rangers rank T12th for total strikeouts, recording 1197.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .249 against the Rangers this season (21st in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .232 (4th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 33-28-80 17-13-42 16-15-38 25-21-50 8-7-30 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Rangers 37-46-59 20-22-28 17-24-31 19-25-32 18-21-27 0-0-0 2-4-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Rays are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Rangers are -120.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 56-42-43 28-22-22 28-20-21 43-30-23 13-12-20 0-0-0 4-1-5
    Rangers 52-60-30 30-25-15 22-35-15 27-35-14 25-25-16 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 75-66 in Rays games this season. The Rangers have a 57-85 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 7-6 victory over the Rangers at Globe Life Field yesterday. Jonathan Aranda was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Rangers' 10-game winning streak against the Rays at Globe Life Field.