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MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees (September 5, 2026)

The New York Yankees (80-61) face the San Diego Padres (74-67) at Petco Park on Saturday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Carlos Rodon is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Robbie Ray is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Padres are favored to win at -114, while the Yankees are at -106. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Yankees (+158) have a 73-68 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (-193) hold a record of 74-67.
  • The Yankees have a 60-76-5 O/U record this season (meaning 60 games have gone over the total runs line, 76 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 61-76-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Yankees are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging only 4.2 (22nd).
  • In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (1st in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (8th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .233 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting .237 (22nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 154 (20th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 193 (T2nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 609 RBIs to rank 14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Padres have recorded 575 RBIs to rank 22nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Padres have an earned run average of 3.91 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Yankees have an ERA of 3.23 (1st).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 1262 this season, ranking 7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1146.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Padres this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .224 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 33-32-76 17-15-36 16-17-40 28-23-63 5-9-13 0-0-0 2-1-7
    Padres 24-26-91 13-13-44 11-13-45 16-10-41 8-16-50 0-0-2 1-1-8

Lead After Three Innings

The Yankees are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Padres are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 61-41-39 29-19-20 32-22-19 50-32-32 11-9-7 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Padres 45-58-38 26-27-17 18-30-21 21-24-22 24-34-16 1-1-0 1-3-6

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 74-67 in Yankees games this season. The Padres have an 86-55 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded a 3-2 extra innings victory over the Yankees at Petco Park yesterday. Ben Rice dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and an RBI.