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MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays (September 5, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (71-71) face the Kansas City Royals (63-79) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Scherzer is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Royals opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick'em, with both the Royals and Blue Jays at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Blue Jays (+143) have a 73-69 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-173) hold a record of 71-71.
  • The Blue Jays have a 71-66-5 O/U record this season (meaning 71 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 66-70-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.3 (21st).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .247 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .248 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 148 (T22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 134 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 548 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 579 RBIs to rank 21st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Royals have an earned run average of 4.74 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.91 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1234 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 1033.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .258 against the Royals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .237 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 28-37-77 13-21-38 15-16-39 18-21-35 10-16-42 0-0-0 4-1-5
    Royals 32-36-74 18-19-33 14-17-41 10-14-27 22-22-47 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Royals are -125.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 47-59-36 22-29-21 25-30-15 28-27-19 19-32-17 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Royals 45-64-33 27-29-14 18-35-19 15-25-11 30-39-22 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.

  • The NRFI is 73-69 in Blue Jays games this season. The Royals have a 70-72 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 9-2 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Bobby Witt Jr. did what he could, hitting a home run.