NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers (February 11, 2026)
The Portland Trail Blazers (26-28) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-22) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 7.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -278 and Trail Blazers at +225. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-115 Minnesota.
- The Timberwolves (-118) have a 24-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Trail Blazers (-102) hold a record of 29-24-1.
- The Timberwolves have a 27-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Trail Blazers have a 28-25-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Timberwolves are averaging 119.4 points per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Trail Blazers are averaging 116.1 (13th).
- Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.9 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Trail Blazers are giving up an average of 118.0 points (23rd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Timberwolves currently rank 11th for pace this season, recording 100.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Trail Blazers sit 8th on that scale with 100.9 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers' opponents are taking 40.1% of their attempts from three (11th) and 59.9% from two.
- Comparatively, Portland takes 46.6% of shots from three (3rd), leaving 53.4% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 39.1% from three (4th) and 60.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.4% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Trail Blazers who are making an underwhelming 34.1% of their attempts (29th).
- On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Portland's opponents are hitting 35.9% of their shots (15th).
Ball Protection
- The Timberwolves are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Trail Blazers are forcing 15.1 turnovers (11th).
- Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 15.0 turnovers (12th), while Portland is committing 17.1 (30th).
Crashing the Boards
- Minnesota is pulling down 44.8 rebounds per game this season (12th in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, Portland's opponents are averaging 43.2 rebounds (12th), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
- Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are averaging 45.9 rebounds (6th) and 14.1 offensive rebounds (2nd), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.0 and 11.1, ranking 11th and 10th.
First Quarter Winner
Minnesota is -155 to win the first quarter, while Portland is +130. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 27-26-2 | 12-15-1 | 15-11-1 | 20-21-2 | 7-5-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Portland | 26-25-3 | 15-12-2 | 11-13-1 | 13-7-1 | 13-18-2 | 4-6-0 |
First Half Winner
Minnesota is -192 to win the first half and Portland is +160. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 26-27-2 | 14-13-1 | 12-14-1 | 19-22-2 | 7-5-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Portland | 23-30-1 | 13-15-1 | 10-15-0 | 13-7-1 | 10-23-0 | 3-6-1 |
HT/FT
Minnesota is -150 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Portland is +265.
- The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 29.1% of games this season, while the Trail Blazers have completed the HT/FT double in 29.6% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Wednesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Trail Blazers have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Minnesota's 55 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Portland's 54 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 118-114 victory over Portland at Moda Center when these teams last met on October 22. Anthony Edwards erupted for 41 points on that day.
NBA Injury News – Portland Trail Blazers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (February 11, 2026)
The Blazers listed Sharpe as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Minnesota.
The Blazers listed Murray as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Minnesota.
The Trail Blazers announced on Saturday (Jan. 31) that Thybulle should be considered week-to-week until the team offers an update on his progress.
The Trail Blazers said on Thursday (Sept. 25) that Lillard won't be back on the court for the 2025-26 season due to his achilles injury.
The Timberwolves listed Edwards as Questionable for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game versus the Trail Blazers.
The Timberwolves announced on Monday (Feb. 9) that Shannon will return to action following the All-Star break.
