NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs (February 11, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs (37-17) face the Golden State Warriors (29-25) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Spurs at -265 and Warriors at +215. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-107 San Antonio.

• The Warriors (-105) have a 25-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Spurs (-115) hold a record of 30-23-1.
• The Warriors have a 30-23-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 23 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Spurs have a 22-32-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 115.6 points per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Spurs are averaging 118.0 (7th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 113.5 points per game this season (10th in the league), while the Spurs are giving up an average of 112.2 points (6th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 99.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Spurs sit 12th on that scale with 100.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.8% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 49.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Spurs' opponents are taking 40.1% of their attempts from three (12th) and 59.9% from two.
• Comparatively, San Antonio takes 41.9% of shots from three (14th), leaving 58.1% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 40.2% from three (7th) and 59.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Spurs who are making 34.9% of their attempts (20th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.4% of their three-point attempts (10th), while San Antonio's opponents are hitting 36.3% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 27th in the league, while the Spurs are forcing 13.5 turnovers (22nd).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.2 turnovers (4th), while San Antonio is committing 13.8 (6th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down just 42.6 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 10.9 offensive boards (21st). Conversely, San Antonio's opponents are averaging a paltry 43.0 rebounds (10th), 10.3 of which have come on the offensive end (4th).
• Meanwhile, the Spurs are averaging 46.6 rebounds (3rd) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.7 and 11.5, ranking 18th and 16th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Warriors are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Golden State holds a 5-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-6-0 ATS record and 4-5-1 O/U record.
• Additionally, San Antonio has a 9-5 W-L record, 8-6-0 ATS record and 6-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Golden State is +130 to win the first quarter, while San Antonio is -155. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	21-29-4	11-14-2	10-15-2	17-18-4	4-11-0	5-4-1
San Antonio	38-15-1	19-6-0	19-9-1	27-9-1	11-6-0	8-1-1

First Half Winner

Golden State is +170 to win the first half and San Antonio is -205. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	31-23-0	16-11-0	15-12-0	25-14-0	6-9-0	4-6-0
San Antonio	37-17-0	18-7-0	19-10-0	25-12-0	12-5-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

Golden State is +310 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, San Antonio is -170.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.6% of games this season, while the Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 51.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Spurs have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Golden State's 54 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of San Antonio's 53 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 109-108 victory over San Antonio at Frost Bank Center when these teams last met on November 14. Stephen Curry was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 49 points and nine triples. The Warriors have now won three straight at Frost Bank Center against the Spurs.