NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder (February 11, 2026)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (41-13) face the Phoenix Suns (32-22) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 8.5, leaving the Thunder at -278 and Suns at +225. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-104 Oklahoma City.

• The Suns (-120) have a 34-18-2 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (+100) hold a record of 26-28-0.
• The Suns have a 23-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Thunder have a 29-25-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 113.7 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging +6.2 more at 119.9 points (2nd).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.4 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 108.0 points (1st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 17th on that scale with 99.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.7% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (6th in the league), leaving 55.3% from two. Notably, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.0% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 56.0% from two.
• Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 41.7% of shots from three (15th), leaving 58.3% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.3% from three (6th) and 58.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.4% from deep in 2025/26 (10th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.1% of their attempts (14th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.6% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Oklahoma City's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 37.1% of their shots (26th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 15.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 17.2 turnovers (2nd).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.9 turnovers (3rd), while Oklahoma City is committing 12.5 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 45.4 rebounds (24th), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (25th).
• Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 43.7 rebounds (15th) and 9.3 offensive rebounds (29th), while the Suns are allowing 43.9 and 12.1, ranking 15th and 27th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Thunder are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Oklahoma City holds a 3-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 1-7-0 ATS record and 4-4-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Phoenix has a 7-2 W-L record, 6-2-1 ATS record and 5-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is +140 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -166. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	28-24-2	15-12-0	13-12-2	16-11-0	12-13-2	5-5-0
Oklahoma City	33-16-5	17-7-4	16-9-1	33-15-5	0-1-0	6-3-1

First Half Winner

Phoenix is +180 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -218. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	30-23-1	15-11-1	15-12-0	17-9-1	13-14-0	4-6-0
Oklahoma City	39-15-0	20-8-0	19-7-0	39-14-0	0-1-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is +320 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -170.

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 46.3% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 59.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Suns have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Phoenix's 54 games this season. Meanwhile, 18 of Oklahoma City's 54 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded an upset 108-105 victory over Oklahoma City at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met on January 4. Devin Booker was influential on that day, recording 24 points, six rebounds and nine assists. That result snapped the Thunder's eight-game winning streak against the Suns.