NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies (February 11, 2026)
The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) face the Denver Nuggets (34-20) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Nuggets are favored to win at -675, currently marked as 13.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +490. The total points line is set at 238.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 126-112 Denver.
- The Nuggets (-115) have a 31-23-0 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-105) hold a record of 23-28-1.
- The Nuggets have a 33-20-1 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line, 20 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Grizzlies have a 25-27-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nuggets are averaging 120.3 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging only 115.3 (17th).
- Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 116.4 points per game this season (19th in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 117.4 points (22nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Nuggets currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 97.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 6th on that scale with 101.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 40.3% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (21st in the league), leaving 59.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 43.8% of their attempts from three (28th) and 56.2% from two.
- Comparatively, Memphis takes 42.3% of shots from three (11th), leaving 57.7% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting 41.8% from three (21st) and 58.2% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.5% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.0% of their attempts (19th).
- On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (8th), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.0% of their shots (17th).
Ball Protection
- The Nuggets are committing 12.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th).
- Flipping that script, Denver is forcing 12.0 turnovers (30th), while Memphis is committing 15.3 (24th).
Crashing the Boards
- Denver is pulling down 42.6 rebounds per game this season (23rd in the league), including 9.6 offensive boards (28th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 45.0 rebounds (23rd), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
- Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 45.3 rebounds (9th) and 11.8 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.9 and 11.9, ranking 9th and 22nd.
First Quarter Winner
Denver is -270 to win the first quarter, while Memphis is +220. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 34-18-2 | 17-8-0 | 17-10-2 | 24-10-1 | 10-8-1 | 6-3-1 |
| Memphis | 24-26-2 | 12-13-1 | 12-13-1 | 10-6-1 | 14-20-1 | 4-4-2 |
First Half Winner
Denver is -455 to win the first half and Memphis is +350. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | 31-20-3 | 18-7-0 | 13-13-3 | 23-11-1 | 8-9-2 | 5-5-0 |
| Memphis | 24-26-2 | 14-11-1 | 10-15-1 | 11-6-0 | 13-20-2 | 6-3-1 |
HT/FT
Denver is -475 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Memphis is +800.
- The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 42.6% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 23.1% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Wednesday's matchup is +2800 to go to overtime.
- The Nuggets have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Denver's 54 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Memphis' 52 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Denver recorded a 125-115 victory over Memphis at FedExForum when these teams last met on November 24. Nikola Jokic was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 17-point, 10-rebound, 16-assist triple-double. The Nuggets have now won three straight against the Grizzlies.
NBA Injury News – Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets (February 11, 2026)
The Grizzlies said on Saturday (Jan. 24) that Morant will miss at least 3 weeks.
The Grizzlies said on Wednesday (Jan. 14) that Edey will miss at least 6 more weeks.
The Grizzlies listed Aldama as OUT for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Denver.
The Grizzlies listed Coward as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Denver.
The Grizzlies said on Wednesday (Jan. 14) that Clarke will miss at least 4-6 more weeks.
The Grizzlies listed Clayton Jr. as Doubtful for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Denver.
The Nuggets listed Jokic as Probable for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Memphis.
The Nuggets listed Murray as Probable for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Memphis.
Watson is expected to miss at least four weeks with his Grade 2 right hamstring strain, according to Michael Scotto of USA Today.
The Nuggets said on Thursday (Jan. 29) that Gordon will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
The Nuggets listed Braun as Probable for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Memphis.
The Nuggets listed Jones as Questionable for Wednesday's (Feb. 11) game against Memphis.
The Nuggets announced on Monday (Dec. 22) that Bates will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
