NBA Prop Bets: Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder (February 25, 2026)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (45-14) face the Detroit Pistons (42-14) at Little Caesars Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Pistons opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Pistons at -440 and Thunder at +340. The total points line is set at 219.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 115-104 Detroit.

The Pistons (-110) have a 31-25-0 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (-110) hold a record of 30-29-0.
The Pistons have a 23-32-1 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total points line, 32 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 32-27-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Pistons are averaging 117.3 points per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging 119.4 (5th).
Defensively, the Pistons are giving up only 109.4 points per game this season (4th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 107.7 points (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Pistons currently rank 14th for pace this season, recording 99.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 18th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 35.3% of the Pistons' field goal attempts come from three point range (27th in the league), leaving 64.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.2% of their attempts from three (25th) and 55.8% from two.
Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 42.0% of shots from three (16th), leaving 58.0% from two, while Detroit's opponents are attempting 42.9% from three (12th) and 57.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Pistons are shooting 34.9% from deep in 2025/26 (21st in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.5% of their attempts (9th).
On the opposite end, Detroit is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Oklahoma City's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 36.9% of their shots (26th).

Ball Protection

The Pistons are committing 15.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 23rd in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 17.0 turnovers (2nd).
Flipping that script, Detroit is forcing 17.4 turnovers (1st), while Oklahoma City is committing 12.7 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

Detroit is pulling down 45.9 rebounds per game this season (7th in the league), including 13.2 offensive boards (3rd). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (23rd), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (25th).
Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 43.8 rebounds (15th) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (28th), while the Pistons are allowing 41.3 and 11.5, ranking 4th and 16th.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Pistons are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Detroit holds an 8-1 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-4-0 ATS record and 6-3-0 O/U record.
Additionally, Oklahoma City has an 8-2 W-L record, 4-6-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Detroit is -225 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is +185. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Detroit	33-22-1	16-12-1	17-10-0	27-17-1	6-5-0	7-3-0
Oklahoma City	35-19-5	18-9-4	17-10-1	34-17-5	1-2-0	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Detroit is -290 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is +235. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Detroit	41-14-1	20-8-1	21-6-0	32-12-1	9-2-0	8-2-0
Oklahoma City	43-16-0	22-9-0	21-7-0	41-15-0	2-1-0	8-2-0

HT/FT

Detroit is -295 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is +550.

The Pistons have completed the HT/FT double in 66.1% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 61.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.

The Pistons have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Detroit's 56 games this season. Meanwhile, 19 of Oklahoma City's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Oklahoma City recorded a 119-103 victory over Detroit at Paycom Center when these teams last met on April 2, 2025. Chet Holmgren was a dominant force on that day, finishing with 22 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks. The Thunder have now won three straight at Paycom Center against the Pistons.