NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (February 25, 2026)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (37-22) face the Milwaukee Bucks (25-31) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Cavaliers opened as 8.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Cavaliers at -166 and Bucks at +140. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-109 Cleveland.

• The Bucks (-105) have a 26-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Cavaliers (-115) hold a record of 25-34-0.
• The Bucks have a 23-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Cavaliers have a 28-31-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Bucks are averaging 112.3 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Cavaliers are averaging +7.3 more at 119.5 points (4th).
• Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 115.4 points per game this season (16th in the league), while the Cavaliers are giving up an average of 115.0 points (14th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Cavaliers sit 11th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.5% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (13th in the league), leaving 56.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers' opponents are taking 42.4% of their attempts from three (20th) and 57.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Cleveland takes 44.4% of shots from three (5th), leaving 55.6% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting a similarly high 44.4% from three (26th) and 55.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 39.1% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Cavaliers who are making 35.9% of their attempts (14th).
• On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 36.5% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Cleveland's opponents are hitting 37.1% of their shots (27th).

Ball Protection

• The Bucks are committing 14.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 13th in the league, while the Cavaliers are forcing 15.8 turnovers (6th).
• Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.1 turnovers (26th), while Cleveland is committing 14.4 (12th).

Crashing the Boards

• Milwaukee is pulling down 41.3 rebounds per game this season (27th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Cleveland's opponents are averaging 43.9 rebounds (15th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (19th).
• Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are averaging 44.7 rebounds (12th) and 12.1 offensive rebounds (10th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.6 and 11.1, ranking 17th and 9th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Bucks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Milwaukee holds a 5-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-3-0 ATS record and 3-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Cleveland has a 7-4 W-L record, 3-8-0 ATS record and 6-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
• Notably, the Cavaliers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Notably, the Bucks and Cavaliers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Milwaukee is +114 to win the first quarter, while Cleveland is -135. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	24-29-3	11-14-1	13-15-2	9-11-1	15-18-2	4-5-1
Cleveland	30-26-3	14-15-2	16-11-1	26-19-2	4-7-1	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Milwaukee is +120 to win the first half and Cleveland is -142. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	23-33-0	10-16-0	13-17-0	8-13-0	15-20-0	7-3-0
Cleveland	29-30-0	15-16-0	14-14-0	26-21-0	3-9-0	7-3-0

HT/FT

Milwaukee is +195 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Cleveland is -110.

• The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 28.6% of games this season, while the Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 44.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Cavaliers have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 25 of Milwaukee's 56 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Cleveland's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Cleveland recorded a 118-106 victory over Milwaukee at Rocket Arena when these teams last met on November 17. Donovan Mitchell erupted for 37 points on that day. The Cavaliers have now won seven straight against the Bucks.