NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics (February 25, 2026)

The Boston Celtics (38-19) face the Denver Nuggets (36-22) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Nuggets are favored to win at -148, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Celtics are at +124. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-112 Denver.

• The Nuggets (-108) have a 32-26-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-112) hold a record of 33-24-0.
• The Nuggets have a 36-21-1 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total points line, 21 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Celtics have a 21-36-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging only 115.0 (19th).
• Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 116.3 points per game this season (19th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 107.6 points (1st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Nuggets currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 97.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 94.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.2% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (21st in the league), leaving 59.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 44.8% of their attempts from three (24th) and 55.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Boston takes 46.4% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.6% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting a similarly high 42.2% from three (21st) and 57.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.4% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.2% of their attempts (10th).
• On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Boston's opponents are hitting 35.9% of their shots (16th).

Ball Protection

• The Nuggets are committing just 12.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league. As such, the Celtics aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 13.0 turnovers per contest (27th).
• Flipping that script, Denver is forcing only 12.2 turnovers (30th), while Boston is committing just 12.1 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

• Denver is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 9.6 offensive boards (26th). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging 42.0 rebounds (7th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (11th).
• Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 45.9 rebounds (5th) and 12.9 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.6 and 11.6, ranking 8th and 17th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Nuggets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Denver holds an 8-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as an 8-4-0 ATS record and 9-3-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Boston has a 5-1 W-L record, 5-1-0 ATS record and 3-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Denver is -135 to win the first quarter, while Boston is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	36-20-2	18-8-0	18-12-2	26-12-1	10-8-1	6-4-0
Boston	34-19-4	17-9-1	17-10-3	25-13-3	9-6-1	5-3-2

First Half Winner

Denver is -142 to win the first half and Boston is +120. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	34-21-3	19-7-0	15-14-3	26-12-1	8-9-2	5-5-0
Boston	37-17-3	17-8-2	20-9-1	29-10-2	8-7-1	8-2-0

HT/FT

Denver is -105 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Boston is +170.

• The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 43.1% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 50.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Nuggets have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 36 of Denver's 58 games this season. Meanwhile, 20 of Boston's 57 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded an upset 114-110 victory over Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on January 7. Jamal Murray was immense on that day, recording a 22-point, 17-assist double-double.