NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings (February 25, 2026)

The Sacramento Kings (13-46) face the Houston Rockets (35-21) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 15.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 13.5, leaving the Rockets at -900 and Kings at +600. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-104 Houston.

• The Rockets (-112) have a 25-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-108) hold a record of 23-35-1.
• The Rockets have a 23-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Kings have a 29-30-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Rockets are averaging 114.5 points per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging 110.3 (29th).
• Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 109.4 points per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 121.0 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Rockets currently rank 29th for pace this season, recording 95.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 17th on that scale with 99.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 34.3% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (29th in the league), leaving 65.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking only 40.2% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Sacramento takes only 34.1% of shots from three (30th), leaving 65.9% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.0% from three (5th) and 60.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 37.0% from deep in 2025/26 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making an underwhelming 34.0% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 34.5% of their three-point attempts (5th), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 36.4% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Rockets are committing 15.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 26th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.2 turnovers (17th).
• Flipping that script, Houston is forcing 13.5 turnovers (25th), while Sacramento is committing 14.5 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

• Houston is pulling down 48.5 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 15.5 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 44.7 rebounds (18th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
• Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging only 41.4 rebounds (26th) and 11.0 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Rockets are allowing an impressive 39.6 and 11.4, ranking 2nd and 15th.

First Quarter Winner

Houston is -278 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +225. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	34-19-3	14-11-1	20-8-2	32-16-2	2-3-1	4-5-1
Sacramento	21-35-3	15-13-1	6-22-2	3-3-0	18-32-3	5-5-0

First Half Winner

Houston is -470 to win the first half and Sacramento is +360. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	30-24-2	13-13-0	17-11-2	28-21-1	2-3-1	6-4-0
Sacramento	17-40-2	9-19-1	8-21-1	2-3-1	15-37-1	2-8-0

HT/FT

Houston is -575 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +850.

• The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 39.3% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 13.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

• The Rockets have played in six games that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 18 of Houston's 56 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of Sacramento's 59 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Sacramento recorded a shock 111-98 victory over Houston at Golden 1 Center when these teams last met on January 11. Despite being on the losing side, Amen Thompson came up big on that day, scoring 31 points and adding 13 rebounds. The Kings have now won four straight at Golden 1 Center against the Rockets.